Much has changed in Iran since the 2013 elections and the outcome of elections on the 19th of May 2017 will empower iran’s leadership for the foreseeable future. The two leading candidates stand for opposed strategies - depending on who wins will define whether Iran continues to open itself to the world, or whether it turns back time.
Instability in Syria and Iraq, plus the deterioration of security in Turkey, are facilitating the illicit antiquities trade. With a global valuation of approximately U.S. $3 billion, the potential financial rewards on offer to criminal groups mean the trade remains an area of pressing concern.
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With emergency law a potential disincentive to #investment in Egypt, this analysis considers why President Sisi has triggered it – ostensibly to the detriment of foreign investment and political stability
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Investors should look behind the nationalist rhetoric of Iran’s economic policies, with several indications that Iran is set to be highly receptive to foreign investment. Understanding the context of Iran’s Five Year Development Plan will reveal where avenues of untapped profitability lie.
With Aramco set to be the biggest company by market cap, global political elites are pushing to land its listing. Who amongst New York, London, Hong Kong and Singapore are feasibly in the frame?
He may only have just passed the 100-day mark, but Trump’s foreign policy continue to be scrutinised. None more so than the U.S. stance towards Iran. This is having a direct impact on Iran’s foreign investment environment, and the expectations of Iran’s private sector.
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Developments in Turkey and Lebanon could impact on the illicit narcotics routes that go to Western Europe. In both cases, the weakening of the security state apparatus will contribute to the expansion of the illicit economic interests of drug trafficking networks.
King Salman’s one month tour of Asia produced several bilateral agreements of note between Saudi and China, particularly in the energy sector. However, the intentions of these may be more-deep rooted.
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Iran is fast becoming an attractive investment location, but its susceptibility to illicit financial practices remains a pernicious thorn in the side of foreign investors. Money laundering, terrorist financing and politically exposed persons are issues that still merit attention.
As Saudi appetite for amphetamines grows, so do the coffers of terrorist groups and organised crime syndicates in Syria and Lebanon. The illicit trade in captagon, however, also has implications for foreign investors.
The promise of a new capital city 45 km East of Cairo has so far garnered negative headlines, namely for its failure to finalise contracts. Where Gulf and Chinese interest has faltered, the cards suggest the only winner to be domestic patronage.
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Given the importance of energy sector dynamics in the Middle East, understanding Iran’s energy sector proclivities – including its political exposure, and who wields influence - is critical for foreign investors.