As Ukraine enters the penultimate year of Poroshenko’s presidency, it teeters on the brink of revolutionary failure. Despite Western assistance and policy advice, the influence of the country’s oligarchs and associated systemic corruption has yet to be dislodged. A lack of political will is placing pressure on Ukraine, with indications that civil society and a coalition of populists may potentially shift the balance.
Despite EuroMaidan and the promises of reform, Ukraine is struggling to attract foreign investment. Are the questionable ties that exist between business and politics self-sustaining in the country?
Political transition draws near, the prospects for change to come through a democratic process is not positive. The most probable scenario is that the government will pass new regulations that will further damage constitutional freedoms.
Free Article
In the aftermath of EuroMaidan (2014) Ukraine has initiated various reforms to break with its past. Its scorecard on each reveals whether it will remain a nation where oligarch and political interests collude, or whether it is able to forge a new path forward.
Over the last weeks, Ukrainian media outlets have frequently reported on the possibility of early Rada elections. Political forces have linked the necessity of new elections to pursuing reforms, while the authorities oppose it for the sake of stability.
The appointment of Tasmagambetov as Kazakhstan’s ambassador to Russia is another example that the country is in the midst of a major elite reshuffle. Has he been sent to Moscow as a trusted lieutenant to oversee political transition with the Kremlin, or is he being sidelined?
In Kazakhstan the epoch of Nazarbayev is reaching its end. The issue of transition has gained momentum once again, leading to the re-emergence of succession scenarios. There are strong indications that Nazarbayev’s nephew will be the one to watch.
As the new president, Shavkat Mirziyoyev has inherited the problematic legacy of Islam Karimov. Over the past couple of months, Mirziyoyev has brought back his own allies, individuals once outlawed by his predecessor.
In January, a new governor was appointed in Odessa; an appointment that appears to be part of a typical Ukrainian modus operandi – a deal between President and influential oligarchs.
Free Article
In December 2016, Kazakhstan’s President Nazarbayev suggested constitutional changes to redefine the duties of the President and Parliament. In light of the completed political transition in Uzbekistan after the death of Karimov, Nazarbayev’s proposal can be interpreted as part of his preparations to shape a new political arena for his successor.
Free Article
Although 2016 was a successful year for Russia, to tackle recurrent domestic issues and to ensure a smooth transition in 2018 the Kremlin must capitalise on the favourable status-quo.
The fossil-fuelled character of the Azerbaijani economy experienced serious problems in 2016 on the back of low oil prices. It is anticipated that this crisis will deepen in 2017.
  • 1 (current)
  • 2
  • 3