Free Article
Timing in the Balkans is everything, and current developments in Croatia suggest that it is ripe for more careful monitoring. Four years after gaining EU membership, Croatia’s ghosts of its fascist past are creeping out of the closet, and creating an ideological dispute that may put an end to its centre-right, moderate nationalist government. Feeding its wayward trajectory are the ongoing disputes with its neighbours.
The Syrian refugee crisis is worsening the problem of child labour in Turkey. It is believed that as many as 1 million children in Turkey could be exposed to informal labour networks. Expanding concerns about child labour in Turkey are concerns for international investors, further enhancing the need to conduct integrity due diligence on supply chains and partners.
The use of state-sponsored criminal groups is not historically exclusive to Turkey’s ruling AKP, as evident in news that illicit organisations have publically pledged loyalty to President Erdoğan. As a result, elements within Turkey’s ruling political elite can utilise these groups to protect their political interests, further jeopardising political stability.
The failure of the Cyprus peace talks will have a direct impact on the development of the country’s gas market. Given the geographic location of Cyprus, and ongoing territorial disputes, its politics are colouring commercial negotiations in the gas sector, including those surrounding the Israeli Leviathan basin. This is inevitably creating an insecure investment environment.
Free Article
Turkish-Serbian business relations are set to enter a new era, with the Turkish President noting his commitment to direct more private Turkish investment to Serbia. There are indications that this is another example of Erdogan dovetailing Turkey’s minor foreign policy with securing commercial opportunities for his loyalists.
Free Article
With the growing personalisation of politics in Turkey, embodied in President Erdoğan, a patron-client environment is emerging in the private sector. The President has secured a new loyal group of businessmen in his circle – in exchange for preferential access to state resources, these private sector players support Erdoğan and the AKP in any form required.
Recent purges in Turkish academia are likely to have a devastating impact on society in generally, but also on industry as Erdogan’s purges threatens to create an intellectual desert that will inadvertently diminish the quality of the country’s innovative workforce.
Free Article
Developments in Turkey and Lebanon could impact on the illicit narcotics routes that go to Western Europe. In both cases, the weakening of the security state apparatus will contribute to the expansion of the illicit economic interests of drug trafficking networks.
Free Article
Nationalism still dominates political discourse in much of the Balkans, and is a major source of political instability. Going hand in hand with illiberal and authoritarian tendencies, nationalism is being used for utilitarian political purposes and appears to be a vehicle for the Kremlin’s low-cost drive to destabilise the EU's projects and interests in the region.
Purges in Turkey’s law enforcement structures have undermined the ability of the state to counter the growing drug trafficking problem. This is having an impact on political stability as it feeds terrorism and overall police ineffectiveness.
Free Article
The energy sector in Turkey not only plays a vital economic role, but it is also a tool for political interests. The overwhelming influence of the state in this sector has allowed the government to utilise it to reinforce the loyalty of its surrounding informal networks.
Although the Communist Turkish terrorist group, DHKP-C, had its height in the 1990s, it has reappeared on Turkey’s national security scene as an actor growing in prominence. Its political loyalty to Syria’s Al-Assad has secured the group both military training and financing.
  • 1 (current)
  • 2