The core expertise of Shadow Governance Intel is the assessment of the unwritten rules that shape how politics and business are conducted in emerging and frontier markets, and how elite networks with vested interests implement these informal manoeuvrings.

Our insight goes beyond traditional country and political risk analysis, which assumes that the intersection of politics and economics produces risks that are unpredictable and uncontrollable. Shadow Governance Intel strives to demonstrate that knowledge of informal networks of power, and informal mechanisms of power, injects a greater degree of transparency in the political and commercial environment of emerging and frontier markets.

In other words, we look at the groups and individuals that influence a market, and assess the means through which they exercise their authority.

More specifically, Shadow Governance Intel focuses on:

  • Political stability from the perspective of how power players maintain the status quo, or how they influence political and/or commercial change. Shadow Governance Intel monitors where political power is truly held, how political decisions are really made, and the dynamics that define the relationship between politics and business.
  • Power players, political and commercial, are identified and profiled. In addition to building an understanding of their backgrounds, Shadow Governance Intel investigates their interests, relationships, and where their influence is exerted.
  • Power plays, or the tools used by power players to exert their influence over political decisions or commercial transactions. For example, Shadow Governance Intel identifies where the political and legal framework are ambiguous, and thus where they can be manipulated; how different types of intimidation are exerted; and, how systems of patronage are used to uphold elite interests.

The Shadow Governance Intel methodology is comprehensive and structured, and provides analysis that enables our subscribers to navigate seemingly opaque markets to their benefit.